The model estimates 1.39 goals for Köln and 1.83 for Freiburg. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Köln and 6 for Freiburg, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Freiburg · 46%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Köln is going head to head with Freiburg on January 09, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Bundesliga — Round 15.
Köln take on Freiburg in the Bundesliga on 9 January 2027 at 00:00.
Köln are currently placed 13th in the table with 8 points, while Freiburg occupy 3rd position with 13 points.
Köln come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Freiburg have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 45 recorded meetings, Freiburg have 22 wins against Köln, with 8 draws.
Prediction: Freiburg to win with probability 43%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.22. Over 2.5: 62%. BTTS: 64%.
KÖLFREKÖLFREKÖLFREKÖLFREKÖLFREKÖLFREKÖLFREKÖLFREKÖLFREKöln have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Köln's last 6 matches.
Köln concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Freiburg's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Freiburg's last 6 matches.
Freiburg have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
