The model estimates 2.04 goals for Kauno Zalgiris and 2.83 for Freiburg. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 2 completed matches for Kauno Zalgiris and 6 for Freiburg, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Freiburg · 47%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Kauno Zalgiris is going head to head with Freiburg on December 17, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of UEFA Europa Conference League — Round 6.
Kauno Zalgiris take on Freiburg in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 17 December 2026 at 20:00.
Kauno Zalgiris are currently placed 36th in the table with 0 points, while Freiburg occupy 18th position with 3 points.
Kauno Zalgiris come into this match with 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 2 completed matches, whereas Freiburg have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Freiburg to win with probability 47%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 4.88. Over 2.5: 86%. BTTS: 82%.


There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Freiburg's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Freiburg's last 6 matches.
Freiburg have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.