The model estimates 1.83 goals for Lyon and 1.12 for Toulouse. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Lyon and 6 for Toulouse, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lyon · 56%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Lyon is going head to head with Toulouse on February 27, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Ligue 1 — Round 22.
Lyon take on Toulouse in the Ligue 1 on 27 February 2027 at 00:00.
Lyon are currently placed 5th in the table with 14 points, while Toulouse occupy 11th position with 10 points.
Lyon come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Toulouse have 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 90 recorded meetings, Lyon have 43 wins against Toulouse, with 22 draws.
Prediction: Lyon to win with probability 50%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.94. Over 2.5: 56%. BTTS: 58%.




In their last 6 matches, Lyon have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Lyon's last 6 matches.
Lyon score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Toulouse have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Toulouse have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Toulouse's last 6 matches.