The model estimates 2.15 goals for Toulouse and 1.35 for Le Mans. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Toulouse and 6 for Le Mans, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Toulouse · 57%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Toulouse is going head to head with Le Mans on March 06, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Ligue 1 — Round 23.
Toulouse take on Le Mans in the Ligue 1 on 6 March 2027 at 00:00.
Toulouse are currently placed 11th in the table with 10 points, while Le Mans occupy 15th position with 7 points.
Toulouse come into this match with 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Le Mans have 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Toulouse have 1 win against Le Mans.
Prediction: Toulouse to win with probability 52%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.51. Over 2.5: 68%. BTTS: 67%.




In their last 6 matches, Toulouse have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Toulouse have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Toulouse's last 6 matches.
Le Mans have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Le Mans's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Le Mans have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.