The model estimates 1.75 goals for Lyon and 0.59 for Troyes. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Lyon and 6 for Troyes, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lyon · 64%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Lyon is going head to head with Troyes on March 13, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Ligue 1 — Round 24.
Lyon take on Troyes in the Ligue 1 on 13 March 2027 at 00:00.
Lyon are currently placed 5th in the table with 14 points, while Troyes occupy 17th position with 6 points.
Lyon come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Troyes have 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 40 recorded meetings, Lyon have 31 wins against Troyes, with 6 draws.
Prediction: Lyon to win with probability 59%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.34. Over 2.5: 41%. BTTS: 38%.




In their last 6 matches, Lyon have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Lyon's last 6 matches.
Lyon score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Troyes have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Troyes's last 6 matches.
Troyes have failed to score in 5 of their last 6 matches.