The model estimates 1.62 goals for Olympique Marseille and 1.69 for Lyon. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Olympique Marseille and 6 for Lyon, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lyon · 37%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Olympique Marseille is going head to head with Lyon on March 21, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Ligue 1 — Round 25.
Olympique Marseille take on Lyon in the Ligue 1 on 21 March 2027 at 00:00.
Olympique Marseille are currently placed 7th in the table with 12 points, while Lyon occupy 5th position with 14 points.
Olympique Marseille come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Lyon have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 58 recorded meetings, Lyon have 23 wins against Olympique Marseille, with 19 draws.
Prediction: Olympique Marseille to win with probability 37%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.32. Over 2.5: 64%. BTTS: 67%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Olympique Marseille's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Olympique Marseille's last 6 matches.
Olympique Marseille score an average of 2.33 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Lyon have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Lyon's last 6 matches.
Lyon score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.