The model estimates 1.24 goals for Monaco and 1.24 for Lyon. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Monaco and 6 for Lyon, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Monaco · 38%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Monaco is going head to head with Lyon on March 06, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Ligue 1 — Round 23.
Monaco take on Lyon in the Ligue 1 on 6 March 2027 at 00:00.
Monaco are currently placed 3rd in the table with 15 points, while Lyon occupy 4th position with 14 points.
Monaco come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Lyon have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 127 recorded meetings, Monaco have 54 wins against Lyon, with 25 draws.
Prediction: Monaco to win with probability 37%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.48. Over 2.5: 45%. BTTS: 52%.




In their last 6 matches, Monaco have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Monaco's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Monaco's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Lyon have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Lyon's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Lyon's last 6 matches.