The model estimates 1.25 goals for Brighton and 1.22 for Monaco. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Brighton and 6 for Monaco, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Brighton · 38%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Brighton is going head to head with Monaco on December 10, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of UEFA Europa Conference League — Round 5.
Brighton take on Monaco in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 10 December 2026 at 20:00.
Brighton are currently placed 9th in the table with 4 points, while Monaco occupy 5th position with 6 points.
Brighton come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Monaco have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Brighton to win with probability 38%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.47. Over 2.5: 45%. BTTS: 52%.




Brighton have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Brighton's last 6 matches.
Brighton have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Monaco have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Monaco's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Monaco's last 6 matches.