The model estimates 2.27 goals for Lens and 1.15 for Le Mans. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Lens and 6 for Le Mans, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lens · 55%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Lens is going head to head with Le Mans on May 01, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Ligue 1 — Round 30.
Lens take on Le Mans in the Ligue 1 on 1 May 2027 at 00:00.
Lens are currently placed 9th in the table with 11 points, while Le Mans occupy 15th position with 7 points.
Lens come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Le Mans have 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Lens have yet to beat Le Mans, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Lens to win with probability 57%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.42. Over 2.5: 66%. BTTS: 62%.




Lens have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Lens's last 6 matches.
Lens concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Le Mans have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Le Mans's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Le Mans have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.