The model estimates 1.20 goals for Auxerre and 1.35 for Lorient. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Auxerre and 6 for Lorient, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lorient · 38%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Auxerre is going head to head with Lorient on April 17, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Ligue 1 — Round 28.
Auxerre take on Lorient in the Ligue 1 on 17 April 2027 at 00:00.
Auxerre are currently placed 12th in the table with 10 points, while Lorient occupy 8th position with 12 points.
Auxerre come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Lorient have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 26 recorded meetings, Auxerre have 11 wins against Lorient, with 11 draws.
Prediction: Lorient to win with probability 36%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.55. Over 2.5: 47%. BTTS: 53%.




Both teams have scored in 5 of Auxerre's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Auxerre have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Auxerre's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Lorient have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Lorient's last 6 matches.
Lorient have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.