The model estimates 1.20 goals for Monaco and 0.87 for Lorient. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Monaco and 6 for Lorient, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Monaco · 53%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Monaco is going head to head with Lorient on May 01, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Ligue 1 — Round 30.
Monaco take on Lorient in the Ligue 1 on 1 May 2027 at 00:00.
Monaco are currently placed 3rd in the table with 15 points, while Lorient occupy 8th position with 12 points.
Monaco come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Lorient have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 35 recorded meetings, Monaco have 15 wins against Lorient, with 11 draws.
Prediction: Monaco to win with probability 42%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.07. Over 2.5: 34%. BTTS: 42%.
MONLORMONLORMONLORMONLORMONLORMONLORMONLORMONLORMONLORIn their last 6 matches, Monaco have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Monaco's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Monaco's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Lorient have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Lorient's last 6 matches.
Lorient have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
