The model estimates 1.82 goals for Borussia Dortmund and 0.95 for Freiburg. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Borussia Dortmund and 6 for Freiburg, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Borussia Dortmund · 54%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Borussia Dortmund is going head to head with Freiburg on January 16, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Bundesliga — Round 17.
Borussia Dortmund take on Freiburg in the Bundesliga on 16 January 2027 at 00:00.
Borussia Dortmund are currently placed 2nd in the table with 15 points, while Freiburg occupy 3rd position with 13 points.
Borussia Dortmund come into this match with 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Freiburg have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 53 recorded meetings, Borussia Dortmund have 35 wins against Freiburg, with 12 draws.
Prediction: Borussia Dortmund to win with probability 54%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 2.77. Over 2.5: 52%. BTTS: 53%.




In their last 6 matches, Borussia Dortmund have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Borussia Dortmund have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Borussia Dortmund's last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Freiburg's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Freiburg's last 6 matches.
Freiburg have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.