The model estimates 0.84 goals for Köln and 1.53 for Borussia Dortmund. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Köln and 6 for Borussia Dortmund, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Borussia Dortmund · 49%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Köln is going head to head with Borussia Dortmund on January 13, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Bundesliga — Round 16.
Köln take on Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga on 13 January 2027 at 00:00.
Köln are currently placed 13th in the table with 8 points, while Borussia Dortmund occupy 2nd position with 15 points.
Köln come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Borussia Dortmund have 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 98 recorded meetings, Borussia Dortmund have 44 wins against Köln, with 25 draws.
Prediction: Borussia Dortmund to win with probability 47%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.36. Over 2.5: 42%. BTTS: 46%.




Köln have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Köln's last 6 matches.
Köln concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Borussia Dortmund have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Borussia Dortmund have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Borussia Dortmund's last 6 matches.