The model estimates 2.59 goals for Hoffenheim and 1.28 for Köln. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Hoffenheim and 6 for Köln, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Hoffenheim · 57%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Hoffenheim is going head to head with Köln on January 23, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Bundesliga — Round 18.
Hoffenheim take on Köln in the Bundesliga on 23 January 2027 at 00:00.
Hoffenheim are currently placed 10th in the table with 9 points, while Köln occupy 13th position with 8 points.
Hoffenheim come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Köln have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 34 recorded meetings, Hoffenheim have 14 wins against Köln, with 9 draws.
Prediction: Hoffenheim to win with probability 60%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.87. Over 2.5: 74%. BTTS: 68%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Hoffenheim's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Hoffenheim's last 6 matches.
Hoffenheim score an average of 2.17 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Köln have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Köln's last 6 matches.
Köln concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.