The model estimates 2.07 goals for Werder Bremen and 1.79 for Freiburg. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Werder Bremen and 6 for Freiburg, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Werder Bremen · 40%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Werder Bremen is going head to head with Freiburg on January 23, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Bundesliga — Round 18.
Werder Bremen take on Freiburg in the Bundesliga on 23 January 2027 at 00:00.
Werder Bremen are currently placed 6th in the table with 12 points, while Freiburg occupy 3rd position with 13 points.
Werder Bremen come into this match with 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Freiburg have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 53 recorded meetings, Werder Bremen have 25 wins against Freiburg, with 10 draws.
Prediction: Werder Bremen to win with probability 44%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.86. Over 2.5: 74%. BTTS: 74%.




Werder Bremen are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Werder Bremen have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 6 of Werder Bremen's last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Freiburg's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Freiburg's last 6 matches.
Freiburg have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.