The model estimates 2.68 goals for Freiburg and 0.93 for Hamburger SV. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Freiburg and 6 for Hamburger SV, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Freiburg · 66%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Freiburg is going head to head with Hamburger SV on January 13, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Bundesliga — Round 16.
Freiburg take on Hamburger SV in the Bundesliga on 13 January 2027 at 00:00.
Freiburg are currently placed 3rd in the table with 13 points, while Hamburger SV occupy 12th position with 9 points.
Freiburg come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Hamburger SV have 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 41 recorded meetings, Hamburger SV have 16 wins against Freiburg, with 14 draws.
Prediction: Freiburg to win with probability 66%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 3.61. Over 2.5: 70%. BTTS: 57%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Freiburg's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Freiburg's last 6 matches.
Freiburg have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Hamburger SV's last 6 matches.
Hamburger SV concede an average of 2.33 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Hamburger SV have won only 2 of their last 6 away matches.