The model estimates 1.24 goals for Jong Ajax and 2.93 for Heracles. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Jong Ajax and 6 for Heracles, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Heracles · 62%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Jong Ajax is going head to head with Heracles on November 27, 2026 at 22:00. This match is part of Netherlands Erstedivision — Round 17.
Jong Ajax take on Heracles in the Netherlands Erstedivision on 27 November 2026 at 22:00.
Jong Ajax are currently placed 15th in the table with 12 points, while Heracles occupy 1st position with 29 points.
Jong Ajax come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Heracles have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 2 recorded meetings, Jong Ajax have 1 win against Heracles.
Prediction: Heracles to win with probability 61%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 4.18. Over 2.5: 79%. BTTS: 68%.
JONHERJONHERJONHERJONHERJONHERJONHERJONHERJONHERJONHERJong Ajax have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Jong Ajax's last 6 matches.
Jong Ajax have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Heracles have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Heracles have won by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
Heracles score an average of 2.17 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
