The model estimates 2.11 goals for Den Bosch and 1.32 for Jong Ajax. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Den Bosch and 6 for Jong Ajax, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Den Bosch · 56%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Den Bosch is going head to head with Jong Ajax on December 04, 2026 at 22:00. This match is part of Netherlands Erstedivision — Round 18.
Den Bosch take on Jong Ajax in the Netherlands Erstedivision on 4 December 2026 at 22:00.
Den Bosch are currently placed 13th in the table with 15 points, while Jong Ajax occupy 15th position with 12 points.
Den Bosch come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Jong Ajax have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Den Bosch to win with probability 53%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.43. Over 2.5: 67%. BTTS: 66%.




In their last 6 matches, Den Bosch have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Den Bosch's last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Den Bosch's last 6 home matches.
Jong Ajax have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Jong Ajax's last 6 matches.
Jong Ajax have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.