The model estimates 2.34 goals for Jong AZ Alkmaar and 2.02 for NAC Breda. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Jong AZ Alkmaar and 6 for NAC Breda, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Jong AZ Alkmaar · 46%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Jong AZ Alkmaar is going head to head with NAC Breda on December 11, 2026 at 22:00. This match is part of Netherlands Erstedivision — Round 19.
Jong AZ Alkmaar take on NAC Breda in the Netherlands Erstedivision on 11 December 2026 at 22:00.
Jong AZ Alkmaar are currently placed 8th in the table with 17 points, while NAC Breda occupy 6th position with 21 points.
Jong AZ Alkmaar come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas NAC Breda have 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 10 recorded meetings, NAC Breda have 9 wins against Jong AZ Alkmaar.
Prediction: Jong AZ Alkmaar to win with probability 46%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 4.36. Over 2.5: 81%. BTTS: 79%.




Both teams have scored in 5 of Jong AZ Alkmaar's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Jong AZ Alkmaar have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Jong AZ Alkmaar have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
NAC Breda are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, NAC Breda have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
NAC Breda have won 4 of their last 6 matches.