The model estimates 2.04 goals for Jong Ajax and 1.72 for Maastricht. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Jong Ajax and 6 for Maastricht, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Jong Ajax · 45%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Jong Ajax is going head to head with Maastricht on December 11, 2026 at 22:00. This match is part of Netherlands Erstedivision — Round 19.
Jong Ajax take on Maastricht in the Netherlands Erstedivision on 11 December 2026 at 22:00.
Jong Ajax are currently placed 15th in the table with 12 points, while Maastricht occupy 10th position with 17 points.
Jong Ajax come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Maastricht have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Jong Ajax to win with probability 46%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.76. Over 2.5: 72%. BTTS: 73%.
JONMAAJONMAAJONMAAJONMAAJONMAAJONMAAJONMAAJONMAAJONMAAJong Ajax have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Jong Ajax's last 6 matches.
Jong Ajax have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
Maastricht have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Maastricht have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Maastricht's last 6 matches.
