The model estimates 1.54 goals for Hornchurch and 2.16 for Southend. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Hornchurch and 6 for Southend, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Southend · 48%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Hornchurch is going head to head with Southend on March 29, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of England National League — Round 42.
Hornchurch take on Southend in the England National League on 29 March 2027 at 00:00.
Hornchurch are currently placed 14th in the table with 21 points, while Southend occupy 3rd position with 29 points.
Hornchurch come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Southend have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Southend to win with probability 47%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.70. Over 2.5: 71%. BTTS: 71%.




Hornchurch have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Hornchurch have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Hornchurch's last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Southend's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 6 of Southend's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Southend have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.