The model estimates 1.91 goals for Hornchurch and 0.80 for Gateshead. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Hornchurch and 6 for Gateshead, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Hornchurch · 59%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Hornchurch is going head to head with Gateshead on April 17, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of England National League — Round 45.
Hornchurch take on Gateshead in the England National League on 17 April 2027 at 00:00.
Hornchurch are currently placed 14th in the table with 21 points, while Gateshead occupy 24th position with 4 points.
Hornchurch come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Gateshead have 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Hornchurch to win with probability 58%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 2.71. Over 2.5: 51%. BTTS: 48%.




Hornchurch have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Hornchurch have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Hornchurch's last 6 matches.
Gateshead have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Gateshead have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Gateshead concede an average of 2.17 goals per game across their last 6 matches.