The model estimates 0.95 goals for GD Estoril and 1.57 for Alverca. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for GD Estoril and 6 for Alverca, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Alverca · 46%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
GD Estoril is going head to head with Alverca on December 27, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Primeira Liga — Round 16.
GD Estoril take on Alverca in the Primeira Liga on 27 December 2026 at 19:00.
GD Estoril are currently placed 18th in the table with 2 points, while Alverca occupy 7th position with 11 points.
GD Estoril come into this match with 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Alverca have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 2 recorded meetings, GD Estoril have 1 win against Alverca, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Alverca to win with probability 46%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.52. Over 2.5: 46%. BTTS: 50%.




GD Estoril have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
GD Estoril have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of GD Estoril's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Alverca have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Alverca's last 6 matches.
Alverca score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.