The model estimates 1.56 goals for Estrela Amadora and 1.20 for GD Estoril. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Estrela Amadora and 6 for GD Estoril, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Estrela Amadora · 43%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Estrela Amadora is going head to head with GD Estoril on January 10, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Primeira Liga — Round 17.
Estrela Amadora take on GD Estoril in the Primeira Liga on 10 January 2027 at 00:00.
Estrela Amadora are currently placed 12th in the table with 10 points, while GD Estoril occupy 18th position with 2 points.
Estrela Amadora come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas GD Estoril have 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 10 recorded meetings, Estrela Amadora have 4 wins against GD Estoril, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Estrela Amadora to win with probability 43%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.76. Over 2.5: 52%. BTTS: 57%.




Estrela Amadora have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Estrela Amadora concede an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 home matches, Estrela Amadora have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
GD Estoril have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
GD Estoril have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of GD Estoril's last 6 matches.