The model estimates 2.56 goals for GD Alcochetense and 0.63 for Aljustrelense. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for GD Alcochetense and 6 for Aljustrelense, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: GD Alcochetense · 67%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
GD Alcochetense is going head to head with Aljustrelense on January 30, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 16.
GD Alcochetense take on Aljustrelense in the Campeonato de Portugal on 30 January 2027 at 00:00.
GD Alcochetense are currently placed 11th in the table with 14 points, while Aljustrelense occupy 52nd position with 3 points.
GD Alcochetense come into this match with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Aljustrelense have 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, GD Alcochetense have 1 win against Aljustrelense.
Prediction: GD Alcochetense to win with probability 67%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 3.19. Over 2.5: 62%. BTTS: 44%.




In their last 6 matches, GD Alcochetense have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
GD Alcochetense have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
GD Alcochetense have won by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
Aljustrelense have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Aljustrelense have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Aljustrelense have failed to score in 4 of their last 6 matches.