The model estimates 1.25 goals for Aljustrelense and 1.39 for Portel. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Aljustrelense and 6 for Portel, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Portel · 36%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Aljustrelense is going head to head with Portel on February 07, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 17.
Aljustrelense take on Portel in the Campeonato de Portugal on 7 February 2027 at 00:00.
Aljustrelense are currently placed 50th in the table with 3 points, while Portel occupy 42nd position with 5 points.
Aljustrelense come into this match with 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Portel have 0 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Aljustrelense have yet to beat Portel, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Portel to win with probability 37%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 2.64. Over 2.5: 49%. BTTS: 55%.


Aljustrelense have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Aljustrelense's last 6 matches.
Aljustrelense have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
Portel have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Portel have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Portel's last 6 matches.