The model estimates 0.96 goals for Aljustrelense and 1.48 for Serpa. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Aljustrelense and 6 for Serpa, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Aljustrelense · 34%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Aljustrelense is going head to head with Serpa on November 08, 2026 at 18:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 8.
Aljustrelense take on Serpa in the Campeonato de Portugal on 8 November 2026 at 18:00.
Aljustrelense are currently placed 50th in the table with 3 points, while Serpa occupy 21st position with 8 points.
Aljustrelense come into this match with 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Serpa have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Serpa to win with probability 44%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.44. Over 2.5: 44%. BTTS: 49%.




Aljustrelense have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Aljustrelense's last 6 matches.
Aljustrelense have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Serpa have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Serpa have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Serpa's last 6 matches.