The model estimates 1.58 goals for Serpa and 1.19 for GD Alcochetense. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Serpa and 6 for GD Alcochetense, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Serpa · 53%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Serpa is going head to head with GD Alcochetense on February 21, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 19.
Serpa take on GD Alcochetense in the Campeonato de Portugal on 21 February 2027 at 00:00.
Serpa are currently placed 21st in the table with 8 points, while GD Alcochetense occupy 23rd position with 8 points.
Serpa come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas GD Alcochetense have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 3 recorded meetings, GD Alcochetense have 2 wins against Serpa.
Prediction: Serpa to win with probability 44%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.77. Over 2.5: 52%. BTTS: 57%.




In their last 6 matches, Serpa have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Serpa have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Serpa's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, GD Alcochetense have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
GD Alcochetense have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of GD Alcochetense's last 6 matches.