The model estimates 1.59 goals for Gamba Osaka and 1.27 for Cerezo Osaka. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Gamba Osaka and 6 for Cerezo Osaka, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Gamba Osaka · 43%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Gamba Osaka is going head to head with Cerezo Osaka on November 08, 2026 at 09:00. This match is part of J1 League — Round 14.
Gamba Osaka take on Cerezo Osaka in the J1 League on 8 November 2026 at 09:00.
Gamba Osaka are currently placed 9th in the table with 47 points, while Cerezo Osaka occupy 7th position with 54 points.
Gamba Osaka come into this match with 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Cerezo Osaka have 0 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 69 recorded meetings, Gamba Osaka have 27 wins against Cerezo Osaka, with 16 draws.
Prediction: Gamba Osaka to win with probability 43%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.86. Over 2.5: 54%. BTTS: 59%.




Gamba Osaka have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Gamba Osaka have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Gamba Osaka's last 6 home matches.
Cerezo Osaka have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Cerezo Osaka's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Cerezo Osaka have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.