The model estimates 1.52 goals for Kyoto and 1.49 for Cerezo Osaka. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Kyoto and 6 for Cerezo Osaka, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Kyoto · 38%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Kyoto is going head to head with Cerezo Osaka on November 28, 2026 at 14:00. This match is part of J1 League — Round 17.
Kyoto take on Cerezo Osaka in the J1 League on 28 November 2026 at 14:00.
Kyoto are currently placed 17th in the table with 33 points, while Cerezo Osaka occupy 7th position with 54 points.
Kyoto come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Cerezo Osaka have 0 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 36 recorded meetings, Cerezo Osaka have 16 wins against Kyoto, with 9 draws.
Prediction: Kyoto to win with probability 38%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.00. Over 2.5: 58%. BTTS: 62%.




Kyoto have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Kyoto's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Kyoto's last 6 matches.
Cerezo Osaka have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Cerezo Osaka's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Cerezo Osaka have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.