The model estimates 1.38 goals for Gainsborough and 1.23 for Alfreton. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Gainsborough and 6 for Alfreton, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Gainsborough · 40%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Gainsborough is going head to head with Alfreton on November 28, 2026 at 15:00. This match is part of England Northern Premier — Round 21.
Gainsborough take on Alfreton in the England Northern Premier on 28 November 2026 at 15:00.
Gainsborough are currently placed 4th in the table with 29 points, while Alfreton occupy 9th position with 23 points.
Gainsborough come into this match with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Alfreton have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 24 recorded meetings, Alfreton have 14 wins against Gainsborough, with 4 draws.
Prediction: Gainsborough to win with probability 40%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.60. Over 2.5: 48%. BTTS: 54%.




In their last 6 matches, Gainsborough have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Gainsborough's last 6 matches.
Gainsborough have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Alfreton have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Alfreton have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Alfreton's last 6 matches.