The model estimates 1.82 goals for Stockton and 1.49 for Gainsborough. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Stockton and 6 for Gainsborough, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Stockton · 44%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Stockton is going head to head with Gainsborough on December 05, 2026 at 15:00. This match is part of England Northern Premier — Round 22.
Stockton take on Gainsborough in the England Northern Premier on 5 December 2026 at 15:00.
Stockton are currently placed 15th in the table with 21 points, while Gainsborough occupy 9th position with 29 points.
Stockton come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Gainsborough have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 5 recorded meetings, Gainsborough have 3 wins against Stockton, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Stockton to win with probability 44%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.31. Over 2.5: 64%. BTTS: 66%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Stockton's last 6 matches.
Stockton score an average of 2.00 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 home matches, Stockton have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Gainsborough's last 6 matches.
Gainsborough have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Gainsborough's last 6 matches.