The model estimates 2.13 goals for Freiburg and 0.93 for Paderborn. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Freiburg and 6 for Paderborn, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Freiburg · 62%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Freiburg is going head to head with Paderborn on January 30, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Bundesliga — Round 19.
Freiburg take on Paderborn in the Bundesliga on 30 January 2027 at 00:00.
Freiburg are currently placed 3rd in the table with 13 points, while Paderborn occupy 14th position with 8 points.
Freiburg come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Paderborn have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 15 recorded meetings, Freiburg have 6 wins against Paderborn, with 4 draws.
Prediction: Freiburg to win with probability 59%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 3.07. Over 2.5: 59%. BTTS: 55%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Freiburg's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Freiburg's last 6 matches.
Freiburg have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Paderborn have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Paderborn have won only 2 of their last 6 away matches.
Paderborn have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 away matches.