The model estimates 1.56 goals for Hamburger SV and 1.91 for Augsburg. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Hamburger SV and 6 for Augsburg, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Augsburg · 43%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Hamburger SV is going head to head with Augsburg on January 16, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Bundesliga — Round 17.
Hamburger SV take on Augsburg in the Bundesliga on 16 January 2027 at 00:00.
Hamburger SV are currently placed 12th in the table with 9 points, while Augsburg occupy 9th position with 9 points.
Hamburger SV come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Augsburg have 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 16 recorded meetings, Augsburg have 9 wins against Hamburger SV, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Augsburg to win with probability 41%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.47. Over 2.5: 67%. BTTS: 69%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Hamburger SV's last 6 matches.
Hamburger SV concede an average of 2.33 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 home matches, Hamburger SV have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 6 of Augsburg's last 6 matches.
Augsburg have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Augsburg's last 6 matches.