The model estimates 1.78 goals for Ovarense and 0.79 for Florgrade. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Ovarense and 6 for Florgrade, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Ovarense · 49%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Ovarense is going head to head with Florgrade on March 07, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 21.
Ovarense take on Florgrade in the Campeonato de Portugal on 7 March 2027 at 00:00.
Ovarense are currently placed 1st in the table with 16 points, while Florgrade occupy 15th position with 10 points.
Ovarense come into this match with 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Florgrade have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Ovarense to win with probability 54%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.57. Over 2.5: 47%. BTTS: 47%.




Ovarense are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Ovarense have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Ovarense have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Florgrade's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Florgrade have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Florgrade have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.