The model estimates 1.82 goals for Florgrade and 0.94 for Sousense. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Florgrade and 6 for Sousense, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Florgrade · 52%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Florgrade is going head to head with Sousense on March 14, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 22.
Florgrade take on Sousense in the Campeonato de Portugal on 14 March 2027 at 00:00.
Florgrade are currently placed 15th in the table with 10 points, while Sousense occupy 51st position with 2 points.
Florgrade come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Sousense have 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Florgrade to win with probability 52%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 2.76. Over 2.5: 52%. BTTS: 53%.




There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Florgrade's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Florgrade have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Florgrade have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Sousense have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Sousense have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Sousense's last 6 matches.