The model estimates 1.40 goals for Castro Daire and 1.08 for Sanjoanense. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Castro Daire and 6 for Sanjoanense, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Castro Daire · 39%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Castro Daire is going head to head with Sanjoanense on March 21, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 23.
Castro Daire take on Sanjoanense in the Campeonato de Portugal on 21 March 2027 at 00:00.
Castro Daire are currently placed 13th in the table with 13 points, while Sanjoanense occupy 20th position with 12 points.
Castro Daire come into this match with 2 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Sanjoanense have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 3 recorded meetings, Castro Daire have 1 win against Sanjoanense, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Castro Daire to win with probability 41%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.47. Over 2.5: 45%. BTTS: 51%.




Castro Daire are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Castro Daire have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Castro Daire have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Sanjoanense have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Sanjoanense's last 6 matches.
Sanjoanense have won only 2 of their last 6 away matches.