European FootballTop competitionsNext match00d : 00h : 00m : 00sEuropean FootballTop competitionsNext match00d : 00h : 00m : 00sThe model estimates 1.09 goals for Excelsior and 2.34 for Ajax. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Excelsior and 6 for Ajax, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Ajax · 57%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Excelsior is going head to head with Ajax on February 14, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Eredivisie — Round 22.
Excelsior take on Ajax in the Eredivisie on 14 February 2027 at 00:00.
Excelsior are currently placed 12th in the table with 10 points, while Ajax occupy 3rd position with 21 points.
Excelsior come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Ajax have 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 51 recorded meetings, Ajax have 39 wins against Excelsior, with 10 draws.
Prediction: Ajax to win with probability 56%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.43. Over 2.5: 67%. BTTS: 61%.
EXCAJAEXCAJAEXCAJAEXCAJAEXCAJAEXCAJAEXCAJAEXCAJAEXCAJAExcelsior have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Excelsior's last 6 matches.
Excelsior have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Ajax are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Ajax have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 6 of Ajax's last 6 matches.
