The model estimates 1.69 goals for AZ Alkmaar and 1.20 for Sittard. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for AZ Alkmaar and 6 for Sittard, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: AZ Alkmaar · 49%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
AZ Alkmaar is going head to head with Sittard on February 21, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Eredivisie — Round 23.
AZ Alkmaar take on Sittard in the Eredivisie on 21 February 2027 at 00:00.
AZ Alkmaar are currently placed 5th in the table with 20 points, while Sittard occupy 6th position with 18 points.
AZ Alkmaar come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Sittard have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, AZ Alkmaar have 1 win against Sittard.
Prediction: AZ Alkmaar to win with probability 46%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.89. Over 2.5: 55%. BTTS: 58%.




In their last 6 matches, AZ Alkmaar have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
AZ Alkmaar have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of AZ Alkmaar's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Sittard have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Sittard's last 6 matches.
Sittard score an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.