The model estimates 2.19 goals for Twente and 0.83 for Excelsior. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Twente and 6 for Excelsior, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Twente · 61%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Twente is going head to head with Excelsior on February 21, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Eredivisie — Round 23.
Twente take on Excelsior in the Eredivisie on 21 February 2027 at 00:00.
Twente are currently placed 2nd in the table with 23 points, while Excelsior occupy 12th position with 10 points.
Twente come into this match with 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Excelsior have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 46 recorded meetings, Twente have 21 wins against Excelsior, with 15 draws.
Prediction: Twente to win with probability 61%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 3.01. Over 2.5: 58%. BTTS: 51%.




Twente are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Twente have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Twente have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
Excelsior have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Excelsior's last 6 matches.
Excelsior have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.