The model estimates 2.19 goals for Excelsior '31 and 1.53 for Sparta Nijkerk. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Excelsior '31 and 6 for Sparta Nijkerk, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Excelsior '31 · 52%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Excelsior '31 is going head to head with Sparta Nijkerk on April 17, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Netherlands Derde Divisie — Round 30.
Excelsior '31 take on Sparta Nijkerk in the Netherlands Derde Divisie on 17 April 2027 at 00:00.
Excelsior '31 are currently placed 8th in the table with 22 points, while Sparta Nijkerk occupy 16th position with 18 points.
Excelsior '31 come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Sparta Nijkerk have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 9 recorded meetings, Sparta Nijkerk have 6 wins against Excelsior '31, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Excelsior '31 to win with probability 50%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.72. Over 2.5: 72%. BTTS: 71%.
EXCSPAEXCSPAEXCSPAEXCSPAEXCSPAEXCSPAEXCSPAEXCSPAEXCSPAThere have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Excelsior '31's last 6 matches.
Excelsior '31 have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Excelsior '31 have won by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Sparta Nijkerk have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Sparta Nijkerk score an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Sparta Nijkerk concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
