The model estimates 1.32 goals for DVS '33 Ermelo and 2.36 for Excelsior '31. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for DVS '33 Ermelo and 6 for Excelsior '31, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Excelsior '31 · 62%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
DVS '33 Ermelo is going head to head with Excelsior '31 on May 15, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Netherlands Derde Divisie — Round 33.
DVS '33 Ermelo take on Excelsior '31 in the Netherlands Derde Divisie on 15 May 2027 at 00:00.
DVS '33 Ermelo are currently placed 28th in the table with 9 points, while Excelsior '31 occupy 8th position with 22 points.
DVS '33 Ermelo come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Excelsior '31 have 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 11 recorded meetings, DVS '33 Ermelo have 5 wins against Excelsior '31, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Excelsior '31 to win with probability 54%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.68. Over 2.5: 71%. BTTS: 67%.
DVSEXCDVSEXCDVSEXCDVSEXCDVSEXCDVSEXCDVSEXCDVSEXCDVSEXCThere have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of DVS '33 Ermelo's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of DVS '33 Ermelo's last 6 matches.
DVS '33 Ermelo have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Excelsior '31's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Excelsior '31 have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Excelsior '31 have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
