The model estimates 0.93 goals for Estrela Amadora and 1.19 for Gil Vicente. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Estrela Amadora and 6 for Gil Vicente, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Gil Vicente · 38%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Estrela Amadora is going head to head with Gil Vicente on December 06, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Primeira Liga — Round 13.
Estrela Amadora take on Gil Vicente in the Primeira Liga on 6 December 2026 at 19:00.
Estrela Amadora are currently placed 12th in the table with 10 points, while Gil Vicente occupy 9th position with 12 points.
Estrela Amadora come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Gil Vicente have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 24 recorded meetings, Estrela Amadora have 9 wins against Gil Vicente, with 10 draws.
Prediction: Gil Vicente to win with probability 38%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.12. Over 2.5: 36%. BTTS: 44%.
ESTGILESTGILESTGILESTGILESTGILESTGILESTGILESTGILESTGILEstrela Amadora have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Estrela Amadora have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Estrela Amadora concede an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Gil Vicente have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Gil Vicente's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 away matches, Gil Vicente have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
