The model estimates 1.88 goals for Santa Clara and 0.87 for Estrela Amadora. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Santa Clara and 6 for Estrela Amadora, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Santa Clara · 55%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Santa Clara is going head to head with Estrela Amadora on December 27, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Primeira Liga — Round 16.
Santa Clara take on Estrela Amadora in the Primeira Liga on 27 December 2026 at 19:00.
Santa Clara are currently placed 4th in the table with 18 points, while Estrela Amadora occupy 12th position with 10 points.
Santa Clara come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Estrela Amadora have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 8 recorded meetings, Estrela Amadora have 2 wins against Santa Clara, with 5 draws.
Prediction: Santa Clara to win with probability 55%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 2.75. Over 2.5: 52%. BTTS: 51%.




In their last 6 matches, Santa Clara have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Santa Clara have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Santa Clara score an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Estrela Amadora have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Estrela Amadora concede an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Estrela Amadora's last 6 away matches.