The model estimates 2.97 goals for FC Porto and 0.65 for Estrela Amadora. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for FC Porto and 6 for Estrela Amadora, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: FC Porto · 72%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
FC Porto is going head to head with Estrela Amadora on December 13, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Primeira Liga — Round 14.
FC Porto take on Estrela Amadora in the Primeira Liga on 13 December 2026 at 19:00.
FC Porto are currently placed 1st in the table with 27 points, while Estrela Amadora occupy 12th position with 10 points.
FC Porto come into this match with 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Estrela Amadora have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: FC Porto to win with probability 72%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 3.62. Over 2.5: 70%. BTTS: 46%.
FC ESTFC ESTFC ESTFC ESTFC ESTFC ESTFC ESTFC ESTFC ESTIn their last 6 matches, FC Porto have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
FC Porto have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of FC Porto's last 6 matches.
Estrela Amadora have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Estrela Amadora concede an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Estrela Amadora's last 6 away matches.
