The model estimates 2.08 goals for Moreirense and 1.42 for Estrela Amadora. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Saved model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Moreirense and 6 for Estrela Amadora, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Moreirense · 49%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Moreirense is going head to head with Estrela Amadora on November 01, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Primeira Liga — Round 10.
Moreirense take on Estrela Amadora in the Primeira Liga on 1 November 2026 at 19:00.
Moreirense are currently placed 10th in the table with 11 points, while Estrela Amadora occupy 12th position with 10 points.
Moreirense come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Estrela Amadora have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Moreirense to win with probability 49%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.50. Over 2.5: 68%. BTTS: 68%.




Moreirense have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Moreirense's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Moreirense's last 6 matches.
Estrela Amadora have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Estrela Amadora concede an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Estrela Amadora's last 6 away matches.