The model estimates 1.55 goals for Mainz and 3.34 for Bayern Munich. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Mainz and 6 for Bayern Munich, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Bayern Munich · 61%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Mainz is going head to head with Bayern Munich on November 07, 2026 at 14:30. This match is part of Bundesliga — Round 9.
Mainz take on Bayern Munich in the Bundesliga on 7 November 2026 at 14:30.
Mainz are currently placed 7th in the table with 10 points, while Bayern Munich occupy 1st position with 17 points.
Mainz come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Bayern Munich have 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 44 recorded meetings, Bayern Munich have 32 wins against Mainz, with 4 draws.
Prediction: Bayern Munich to win with probability 61%. Most likely scoreline: 1-3. Avg goals: 4.88. Over 2.5: 86%. BTTS: 76%.
MAIBAYMAIBAYMAIBAYMAIBAYMAIBAYMAIBAYMAIBAYMAIBAYMAIBAYThere have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Mainz's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Mainz's last 6 matches.
Mainz score an average of 2.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Bayern Munich are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Bayern Munich have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Bayern Munich's last 6 matches.
