The model estimates 2.64 goals for Erzgebirge Aue and 1.28 for Tasmania Berlin. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Erzgebirge Aue and 6 for Tasmania Berlin, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Erzgebirge Aue · 57%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Erzgebirge Aue is going head to head with Tasmania Berlin on December 06, 2026 at 16:00. This match is part of Germany Regionalliga Nordost — Round 19.
Erzgebirge Aue take on Tasmania Berlin in the Germany Regionalliga Nordost on 6 December 2026 at 16:00.
Erzgebirge Aue are currently placed 5th in the table with 27 points, while Tasmania Berlin occupy 16th position with 11 points.
Erzgebirge Aue come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Tasmania Berlin have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Erzgebirge Aue have 1 win against Tasmania Berlin.
Prediction: Erzgebirge Aue to win with probability 59%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.92. Over 2.5: 75%. BTTS: 68%.




Erzgebirge Aue have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 home matches, Erzgebirge Aue have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Tasmania Berlin have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Tasmania Berlin's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Tasmania Berlin's last 6 matches.