The model estimates 1.89 goals for Erzgebirge Aue and 1.04 for Babelsberg. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Erzgebirge Aue and 6 for Babelsberg, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Erzgebirge Aue · 52%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Erzgebirge Aue is going head to head with Babelsberg on November 22, 2026 at 16:00. This match is part of Germany Regionalliga Nordost — Round 17.
Erzgebirge Aue take on Babelsberg in the Germany Regionalliga Nordost on 22 November 2026 at 16:00.
Erzgebirge Aue are currently placed 5th in the table with 30 points, while Babelsberg occupy 12th position with 16 points.
Erzgebirge Aue come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Babelsberg have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 4 recorded meetings, Erzgebirge Aue have 2 wins against Babelsberg, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Erzgebirge Aue to win with probability 52%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.93. Over 2.5: 56%. BTTS: 56%.
ERZBABERZBABERZBABERZBABERZBABERZBABERZBABERZBABERZBABIn their last 6 home matches, Erzgebirge Aue have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Babelsberg have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Babelsberg concede an average of 2.17 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Babelsberg have lost 4 of their last 6 away matches.
