The model estimates 0.61 goals for Crystal Palace and 2.15 for Arsenal. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Crystal Palace and 6 for Arsenal, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Arsenal · 61%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Crystal Palace is going head to head with Arsenal on December 27, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Premier League — Round 17.
Crystal Palace take on Arsenal in the Premier League on 27 December 2026 at 19:00.
Crystal Palace are currently placed 18th in the table with 7 points, while Arsenal occupy 1st position with 24 points.
Crystal Palace come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Arsenal have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 54 recorded meetings, Arsenal have 33 wins against Crystal Palace, with 16 draws.
Prediction: Arsenal to win with probability 62%. Most likely scoreline: 0-2. Avg goals: 2.76. Over 2.5: 52%. BTTS: 41%.
CRYARSCRYARSCRYARSCRYARSCRYARSCRYARSCRYARSCRYARSCRYARSCrystal Palace have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Crystal Palace have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Crystal Palace have failed to score in 4 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Arsenal have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Arsenal have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Arsenal's last 6 matches.
